UDC: 33
https://doi.org/10.25198/2077-7175-2025-4-24


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DIRECTIONS FOR IMPROVING THE SYSTEM OF LONG-TERM FORECASTING OF SOCIO-ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT OF THE FAR EASTERN FEDERAL DISTRICT SUBJECTS

E. V. Gokhshtand
Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, Russia
e-mail: gokhshtande@gmail.com

Abstract. The relevance of the study is conditioned by the implementation in the Russian Federation of a number of macro-regional and regional strategies, national and regional programs aimed at the development of the Far Eastern Federal District, the effectiveness and efficiency of which largely depend on the coordination of subjects, consistency, practical validity, adaptability of the system of socio-economic development forecasting and strategic planning of the Far Eastern Federal District subjects. The purpose of the article is to determine the directions of improvement of the system of socio-economic development long-term forecasting the research was conducted using general scientific methods: comparison, analogy, methods of generalization, concretization, classification and formalization, causal analysis and synthesis of scientific sources and literature. The information base of the study consisted of federal and regional normative legal acts in the field of socio-economic development forecasting and planning (federal and regional laws etc.); methodological recommendations for medium and long-term forecasting; socio-economic development strategies and long-term forecasting of the Russian Federation and of the Far Eastern Federal District subjects. The scientific novelty of the study lies in the identification of general (for the Far Eastern Federal District as a whole) and specific (for individual subjects) features of long-term socio-economic development forecasting system of the Far Eastern Federal District; classification of regional strategies; identification of directions for improvement of the long-term socio-economic development forecasting system of the Far Eastern Federal District subjects. Based on the results of the study the following directions for improvement of the long-term socio-economic development forecasting of the Far Eastern Federal District subjects are suggested: creation of interdepartmental working groups to coordinate the subjects of forecasting, control the consistency of all long-term forecasting documents and synchronize the processes of their updating; inclusion of «risk management», «crisis management», «discussion and adjustment» blocks in the strategies. Further research can be aimed at developing specific recommendations for the implementation of socio-economic development forecasting processes for each group of the Far Eastern Federal District subjects, classified by socio-economic profile.

Key words: Far Eastern Federal District, issues of socio-economic development forecasting, socio-economic development strategy, long-term forecasting of socio-economic development, socio-economic development forecasting of the region.

Cite as: Gokhshtand, E. V. (2025) [Directions for improving the system of long-term forecasting of socio-economic development of the Far Eastern Federal District subjects]. Intellekt. Innovacii. Investicii [Intellect. Innovations. Investments]. Vol. 4, pp. 24–36. – https://doi.org/10.25198/2077-7175-2025-4-24.


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