UDC: 311.312
https://doi.org/10.25198/2077-7175-2025-2-52

METHODOLOGY OF ECONOMIC AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF THE STATE OF ECONOMIC SECURITY OF THE STATE

V. V. Popov
Orenburg State University, Orenburg, Russia
e-mail: popovvv1@yandex.ru

Abstract. The study outlines the author’s approach to conducting an economic and statistical analysis of the state of the country’s economic security by considering, as a key position of this assessment, the main directions of state policy in the field of economic security. The developed methodology is based on the grouping of indicators in the above areas, data normalization and dynamics assessment based on the graphical method (petal diagrams).

Currently, the vast majority of methods are aimed at assessing the economic security indicators themselves, established by Decree of the President of the Russian Federation No. 208 dated May 13, 2017 «On the Strategy of Economic Security of the Russian Federation for the period up to 2030», outside of alignment with the directions of state policy in this area. The applied method is characterized by a new approach to the systematization of the data obtained, which can also be considered a scientific novelty of the study. The aim of the scientific research is to develop a methodology for economic and statistical analysis of the state of economic security of the Russian Federation. The paper proposes a systematization of the main the directions of state policy in the field of ensuring economic security and its characteristic indicators (Table 1), as well as the methodology of the analysis (Figure 1).

In the process of testing the developed methodology to assess the practical significance of the study, it was found that of the 8 areas of state policy, aspects related to the development of the country’s human capital, the growth of the real sector of the economy, increasing the foreign trade potential of economic entities, as well as spatial and regional development are most fully implemented. The issues of introducing innovative technologies for the implementation of the relevant area seem promising, and as indirect indicators complement the picture on the above points, however, as an independent area they do not have a sufficient comprehensive basis and need more careful study. The development of the financial system can be considered the riskiest direction, however, there are a number of objective reasons for this, most of them related to the current economic conditions. The reflection of regional specifics is seen as a possible direction for the development of research in this area; its implementation will be possible only if there is an appropriate information database.

Key words: economic statistics, economic analysis, methodology, economic security.

Cite as: Popov, V. V. (2025) [Methodology of economic and statistical analysis of the state of economic security of the state]. Intellekt. Innovacii. Investicii [Intellect. Innovations. Investments]. Vol. 2, pp. 52–63. – https://doi.org/10.25198/2077-7175-2025-2-52.


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