https://doi.org/10.25198/2077-7175-2019-8-116

ON THE IMPORTANCE OF ENTROPY ANALYSIS IN ASSESSING THE QUALITY OF ROAD SAFETY MANAGEMENT AT THE FEDERAL LEVEL

А.I. Petrov

Tyumen Industrial University, Tyumen, Russia

e-mail: ArtIgPetrov@yandex.ru

Abstract. The article considers the issue of bad informativeness of used system of analysis of road accident rate formation specifics. Unfortunately, the set of evaluative indicators of road safety allows to solve extremely limited set of problems. In general, they compare actual road accident rate characteristics with equivalent ones in previous time periods. Meanwhile the qualitative properties of road safety formation process stay undiscovered. The disadvantage of this analytical approach can be resolved by using entropic characteristics. They include absolute entropy H, relative entropy Hn and entropic coefficient of similarity Kh. Entropic analysis allows to solve one of the most important problem of system process management – how to assess the quality of management. In the context of Russia this problem is significant because of the diversity of regional transport systems in Russian Federation. This diversity is the result of historical-geographical, social-economical and national-demographical factors. Usage of uniform management approach for road safety provision systems of different regions is inefficient and not forward-looking.

The aim of the research is the development of theoretical theses which allow to adequately interpret and model orderliness formation process in order to identify the quality of road safety provision systems management. The basis of assessment of orderliness of road safety provision systems is evaluation of entropic characteristics of road safety provision systems. The article presents method of assessment of entropic characteristics of road safety formation process in Russia and the results of its application. Special attention should be given to the idea of detection of problematic road safety provision systems against the background of other regions based on the comparison of relative entropy values Hn, calculated by for- and three-linked methods. Moreover, the article considers possible ways of practical usage of entropic analysis in order to increase the level of road safety.

Keywords: road safety, traffic accidents, management, Federal level, quality of management, entropy, entropy analysis.

Cite as: Petrov, А.I. (2019) [On the importance of entropy analysis in assessing the quality of road safety management at the federal level]. Intellekt. Innovatsi. Investitsii [Intellect. Innovation. Investments]. Vol.8, pp 116-126. DOI: 10.25198/2077-7175-2019-8-116.


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