UDC: 656.021
https://doi.org/10.25198/2077-7175-2026-4-95


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DEPENDENCE OF THE COST OF OPERATING URBAN PASSENGER TRANSPORT ON CAPACITY

A. I. Fadeev1, A. Yu. Mikhailov2, A. S. Polyakov 3
Siberian Federal University, Krasnoyarsk, Russia
Irkutsk National Research Technical University, Irkutsk, Russia
1 e-mail: 9135335784@mail.ru
2 e-mail: 89148701840@mail.ru
3 e-mail: polyak97@yandex.ru

Abstract. Urban passenger transport of general use (public transport) is of great importance in the economic and social spheres – it provides satisfaction of the transport mobility of residents, which is moreover increasing in accordance with the growth of welfare and cultural level, the increase in the number of residents, the expansion of the territory of cities, as well as the concentration of places of work and recreation. The actual problem is the sustainable development of public transport, which is largely determined by the rational balance of supply and demand, i.e. the ratio between the quality of transport service and the efficiency of the carrier, which depends on the number and capacity of rolling stock on the routes.

The purpose of this study is to improve the quality and efficiency of public transport services through a balanced transportation offer. To do this, the article considers the problem of determining the dependence of the cost of operating vehicles on regular urban routes on their capacity.

As a result of the analysis of the state of the issue, it was established that the carrier’s costs are linearly dependent on the vehicle’s capacity. The use of relative (presented) cost allowed for the elimination of the time factor, and the use of a relative scale for the capacity of rolling stock significantly simplified the resulting mathematical model.

The article presents a regression equation describing the dependence of the relative cost of operating a bus on its reduced capacity. Thus, for the first time, a mathematical model has been obtained that allows, in relative (reduced) units, to determine the cost of operating a bus from its capacity, so to form a more effective transport offer. The analysis of the actual data of municipal transport organizations in Krasnoyarsk over a number of years allows us to conclude that the coefficient of the regression equation has a fairly stable value, and no trends have been found from time or data sources (transport organizations). The possible error does not exceed 5% of the operating costs of the base bus used to calculate the relative cost.

The effectiveness of the developed methodology for determining the cost of operating buses for regular city routes has been demonstrated through test calculations based on real data from the Krasnoyarsk city public passenger transport system.

In the future, it is planned to investigate the application of this approach in the design of transport proposals to determine the optimal structure of the public passenger transport fleet.

Key words: passenger fare, transportation cost, public transportation, bus capacity, transportation demand, transportation supply.

Cite as: Fadeev, A. I., Mikhailov, A. Yu., Polyakov, A. S. (2026) [Dependence of the cost of operating urban passenger transport on capacity]. Intellekt. Innovacii. Investicii [Intellect. Innovations. Investments]. Vol. 4, pp. 95–109. – https://doi.org/10.25198/2077-7175-2026-4-95.


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